TP7.2.17 Are there any predictable trends in the pattern of two week referrals for suspected gastrointestinal cancers?

Abstract Aims Patients with suspected cancer are referred to secondary care on the “two week wait” pathway. Investigation and management of these patients is resource intensive puts a significant strain services. We aim determine if there predictable trends in quantity referrals or detection rates (conversion rates) for upper lower gastrointestinal cancers. Identifying such could guide future allocation provision Methods Two wait clinics between 2015 2019 were included. The number conversion analysed monthly, quarterly annual basis. Results Upper GI total referrals: 1094 vs 1357 2019. Lower 1827 vs. 3278 rates: 8.8% 8.36% 6.47% 4.07% There no identifiable referral numbers when monthly Conclusions two cancers has shown sustained year increase. Conversion time period have remained somewhat static some cases decreased. Our data shows evidence any spikes troughs demand related year. Should continue rise at current rate then alternate modes assessment as telephone clinic straight test approach may become more widespread.